Central Asia: Changes in Progress?

October 2016


After 26 years of authoritarian rule, Uzbekistan's President Islam Karimov died in early September, leaving no clear succession plan in place. Against a backdrop of intense pressure on Central Asian economies amid low oil and gas prices, Karimov's death raises questions about the stability of the country and the wider region.

Key themes:

  • Security implications: how is Karimov's death likely to affect the short-term security situation?
  • Succession scenarios: how will the post-Karimov era look in Uzbekistan? Will conditions for foreign business change?
  • Economic pressures: what do regional governments' efforts to diversify their economies mean for business?


Anna Walker, Associate Director, Global Risk Analysis

Eimear O'Casey, Associate Analyst, Global Risk Analysis

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